Saxo Bank’s outlook enjoys something of a cult following in the financial industry. For good reason: the Danish digital bank’s experts are known for venturing far out on a limb with their forecasts — as they have again this year.

Saxo's «Outrageous Predictions» are not an official market view or forecast. Instead, they highlight low-probability, high-impact events that could send shockwaves through global markets if they were to materialize.

Switzerland Scenarios for the First Time

Sometimes it’s good to step out of your comfort zone and think the seemingly impossible, said Ole S. Hansen, Head of Commodity Strategy, at a recent media event in Zurich: «Even though these predictions aren’t about being right, they are meant to challenge prevailing narratives. Perhaps in 2026 calm waters will be the new extraordinary.»

They are not always wrong. In 2022, Saxo predicted that gold prices would double — which happened two years later. The institution also correctly forecast that Nvidia would overtake Apple in market capitalization in 2025. And as early as 2017, analysts accurately anticipated Bitcoin’s spectacular profit surges.

This year, for the first time, there are also two scenarios for Switzerland. 

1. Q-Day Shakes Cryptos and the Global Financial System

In 2026, what security experts have warned about for years finally happens: a functioning quantum computer breaks today’s widely used encryption standards. Overnight, no digital lock is considered secure — not emails, bank transfers, or crypto wallets. Markets panic: Bitcoin collapses toward zero, while gold surges to nearly 10,000 dollars.

Central banks activate emergency facilities, regulators impose a worldwide«Maintenance Weekend» to secure the digital financial infrastructure anew. Winners: traditional banks with cash access, physical vault providers, and new cybersecurity champions. Losers: public cryptocurrencies and hot-wallet exchanges.

2. Swift–Kelce: A Celebrity Wedding Spectacle Fuels Global Growth

Taylor Swift. (Image: Shutterstock)

Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce tie the knot on a private Caribbean island, triggering a societal domino effect. The couple’s decision to largely withdraw from social media and embrace a family-oriented offline world is imitated globally.

Marriage and birth rates rise noticeably, Millennials and Gen Z create new living space, buy homes, furnish them — giving measurable momentum to the global economy. The International Monetary Fund raises its growth forecast for the world economy by more than one percentage point. Social-media platforms, however, lose user time and growth momentum. Wall Street quickly talks about the«Swiftie Put».