UBS: A Week of Action for Ermotti and Kelleher

The year 2024 started remarkably well for UBS. Recall that in the first quarter, the major bank significantly exceeded earnings expectations. The financial institution earned $2,376 billion before taxes, as reported by finews.com at the time.

This result more than doubled the consensus of analyst expectations: a profit of $0,24 per share was expected, but UBS actually earned $0,52 per share.

Spring Stock Surge

The positive surprise triggered a stock surge for UBS. The shares rose from around 24 francs at the end of April to over 28 francs in May.

Now, ahead of the half-year results release, the stock is back to where it was before the last quarterly results.

Lowered Expectations

Analysts do not expect UBS to match the billion-dollar profit from the first quarter in the second quarter.

According to the Analyst Consensus Report published by the bank on July 17, 2024, expectations for key figures are as follows:

 

 

  1st Quarter (actual) 2nd Quarter (Expectations)
 Revenue $11,960 billion  $10,946 billion 
 Profit before taxes $2,376 billion  $0,528 billion 
 Earnings by share $0,52   $0,15  

These numbers will be closely watched by investors when UBS reports its second-quarter results on Wednesday. Also of interest to shareholders is whether UBS will signal the continuation of its share buyback program—even if the outlook for the full year 2024, as generally expected, becomes somewhat dimmer.

An interesting week lies ahead for UBS, its Chairman Colm Kelleher, CEO Sergio Ermotti, and the Swiss financial market.